The ROV updated the Encinitas election results last night. Their backlog has shrunk to 205,000 ballots, which means they've processed at least 165,000 ballots (and probably more given that mail-in ballots are trickling in day by day).
Catherine Blakespear, Tony Kranz, and Kellie Hinze continue to hold strong leads. Given that there are probably only another 4,200-4,300 Encinitas ballots in the ROV backlog, it's exceedingly unlikely that the dynamics of the race are going to change even as they count the remaining ballots. At this point we can safely call the election for the incumbents.
As of 6:11am on Wednesday, November 4, votes have been counted from 71.1% of registered voters in Encinitas. Catherine Blakespear, Tony Kranz, and Kellie Hinze all have strong leads.
Final turn-out will likely be around 90%. We believe what's been reported up to now includes all the mail ballots received before election day and the in-person vote on Tuesday - with mail ballots received on election day (and after) still to be counted. San Diego County is reporting 370,000 ballots still to be processed with somewhere between 8,000 and 12,000 votes likely to be outstanding in Encinitas.
Julie Thunder would have to win about two thirds of the outstanding vote to catch up to Catherine Blakespear, which seems unlikely. It's even more unlikely that Alex Riley or Susan Turney would mount a come-back.
So, it looks like Catherine Blakespear is headed for re-election, as are Tony Kranz and Kellie Hinze.