ENCINITAS FORWARD is a site that comes alive in advance of an election. We are best equipped to engage you when Encinitas is a few months away from voting. Then we'll offer you rich resources for learning about candidates and issues, surface polls that give you a voice and a sense of how the community is leaning, and share news that can help you make up your mind before you vote.
Catherine Blakespear wins for Encinitas Mayor in a landslide.
Here are the official, certified vote totals and percentages from SD Vote:
CATHERINE BLAKESPEAR - 21,083 VOTES - 67.24%
PAUL GASPAR - 10,270 VOTES - 32.76%
TONY KRANZ - 14, 511 VOTES - 22.62%
TASHA BOERNER HORVATH - 14,051 VOTES - 21.90%
MARK MUIR - 13,553 VOTES - 21.13%
PHIL GRAHAM - 11,088 VOTES - 17.29%
TONY BRANDENBURG - 10,945 VOTES - 17.06%
NO - 17,943 VOTES - 55.92%
YES - 14,144 VOTES - 44.08%
COUNTY SUPERVISOR, DISTRICT 3
KRISTIN GASPAR - 115,295 VOTES - 50.28%
DAVE ROBERTS - 114,023 VOTES - 49.72%
A NOTE ABOUT OUR POLLS:
We were frankly surprised by how predictive our online polls were in the end... we assumed that the results would be skewed because we don't follow a rigorous polling methodology and people self select into the polls. We were always careful to caveat that our results were biased towards engaged Encinitas residents (people who would tend to click on a call to action to vote in an online poll about local political issues). However, the fact that we used algorithmic Facebook and Google surfacing may have given us an edge that other so called "clicker" polls don't have. Our results were good enough that they can't be dismissed. We'll tune and refine our approach for the next election... but we are encouraged.
As for the report card: Encinitas Forward polls correctly predicted that Catherine would win big, that Tony Kranz and Tasha Boerner Horvath would win for City Council (with vote totals in that order), and that Measure T would fail. We missed on Tony Brandenburg; our last poll predicted that he would take the third Council seat instead of Mark Muir.
The Final Poll for the 2016 Encinitas Election: Choose Individual Candidates for Mayor and City Council
This is our final poll for the 2016 election season.
Now you have a chance to pick individual candidates for Mayor and for City Council as you'd see them on the ballot. Pick one candidate for Mayor and up to three candidates for City Council. If you are supporting a slate (Democrat vs. Republican), then pick two candidates instead of three for City Council to avoid giving the opposition any votes.
The full candidate roster:
Democrat Catherine Blakespear
Republican Paul Gaspar
Democrat Tony Kranz
Democrat Tasha Boerner Horvath
Republican Mark Muir
Republican Phil Graham
Independent Tony Brandenburg
One (anonymous) entry per household internet connection. Hit the link below to vote.
LINK: FINAL POLL FOR 2016 ELECTION - THE FULL ENCHILADA
Another local race that affects all of us
All of our Encinitas Forward reference material, news coverage, and polls have so far been limited strictly to the Encinitas mayoral race, city council races, and ballot measures - but there is another local race for County Supervisor that will arguably affect residents of Encinitas in a pretty big way.
So, we thought we'd break from our regularly scheduled programming to take the pulse of the city on the two District 3 Supervisor candidates. Do you support Democrat Dave Roberts or Republican Kristin Gaspar?
Dave Roberts is the Democratic incumbent. He's also the only Democrat on the five member San Diego Board of Supervisors. His background includes two terms as Mayor of Solana Beach and a stint on the Solana Beach Budget and Finance Committee. Dave also founded, owns, and operates a multi-state real estate management company. He has served as a corporate officer for SAIC (a Fortune 500 company), was a senior manager for the Healthcare Information and Management Systems Society (a non-profit), and worked for the U. S. Air Force helping to develop the military's health insurance system.
Kristin Gaspar is the Republican challenger. She is currently the Mayor of Encinitas and served on the Encinitas City Council before that. She has been a principal and CFO at Gaspar Physical Therapy, a business that she and her husband founded and grew to seven offices and 150 employees. She is also a civics teacher at Mission Estancia Elementary School.
You might wonder what a County Supervisor does. From Wikipedia: "Under its foundational Charter, the five-member elected San Diego County Board of Supervisors (BOS) is the county legislature. The board operates in a legislative, executive, and quasi-judicial capacity. As a legislative authority, it can pass ordinances for the unincorporated areas (ordinances that affect the whole county, like posting of restaurant ratings, must be ratified by the individual city). As an executive body, it directs the activities of the county departments. As a quasi-judicial body, the Board is the final venue of appeal in the local planning process."
From a 2010 KPBS Interview: "...they control a $5 billion budget, and that $5 billion pays for various social services programs. We hear a lot about food stamps, it pays for public assistance, when we had the H1N1 outbreak it's the county's job to intervene and assess the risk. They inspect restaurants. They actually make a lot of decisions that affect your daily life."
Turns out the county government is important. And the Encinitas representative matters. So this race should be on your radar as you're thinking about November 8.
What do you think? Who do you support? Take our anonymous poll and then see what other engaged Encinitas residents think. Hit the link below!
Mayoral Candidate Forum
Encinitas Advocate article: "Mayoral Candidates Talk Mobility at Mayoral Forum"
The Coast News coverage: "Mayoral Forum Takes on a Congenial Tone"
Measure T (Forum and General Coverage)
THURSDAY, OCTOBER 13 at the Encinitas Library (6:00p-7:30p)
Moderated by the League of Women Voters. Representatives of community organizations and residents will speak for and against Measure T, the Encinitas Housing Element Update. Sponsored by Engage Encinitas.
This is an excellent opportunity to learn more about this controversial ballot measure and hear arguments from both advocates and opponents.
The Encinitas Library is at 540 Cornish Drive. Please get there between 5:30p and 6:00p so that the forum can begin on time at 6:00p.
Final installments of the Seaside Courier "Meet the Candidate" Series (Part 3 for both the Mayoral Race and City Council Race)
News Round-Up for Week of 10/3: Olivenhain Candidate Forum and Seaside Courier "Meet the Candidate" Series
Olivenhain Candidate Forum
Encinitas Advocate / Del Mar Times article about the Olivenhain Candidate Forum: "Candidate forum focuses on Pacific View"
The Coast News coverage of the Olivenhain Forum: "Pacific View takes center stage in Olivenhain debate"
Seaside Courier: "Meet the Candidates" Series
Meet the Candidates: Encinitas Mayoral Race - Part 1
Meet the Candidates: Encinitas Mayoral Race - Part 2
SCHEDULE FOR NEXT FEW WEEKS
Wednesday, OCTOBER 5, 7:30pm: Olivenhain Town Council Forum. All candidates. Olivenhain Meeting Hall, 423 Rancho Santa Fe Road.
Tuesday, OCTOBER 11, 7pm: Mayoral Candidate Forum. Catherine Blakespear and Paul Gaspar. Encinitas Library, 540 Cornish Drive.
Tuesday, OCTOBER 18, 7pm: City Council Forum. All candidates. Encinitas Library, 540 Cornish Drive.
On September 29 the San Diego Reader published an article about the community's polarization between two political slates of three candidates each (one slate from the Republican/conservative side, one from the Democratic/progressive side).
This article is timely given the current poll we're running about the two slates. Most residents are not aware of the current polarization by party and the alliances within the slates, the mutual endorsements, and the flows of money and support. Candidates in each slate all endorse each other and work together. The candidates in a slate are also all endorsed by the corresponding political parties (with the Republican party endorsing Paul Gaspar, Mark Muir, and Phil Graham and the Democratic party endorsing Catherine Blakespear, Tony Kranz, and Tasha Boerner Horvath). The parties also directly support their slates with money, advice, coordination, and some direct campaigning.
With two partisan slates vying for control of the City Council, the Encinitas election in 2016 seems like it is as far from the nonpartisan ideal as you can get.
Here is the link: SAN DIEGO READER ARTICLE ON PARTY SLATES